The World Bank explores AI for disaster risk management in the Caribbean

TL;DR:

  • The World Bank is exploring AI’s potential for disaster risk management in the Caribbean.
  • AI, combined with aerial imagery and local insights, accelerates the acquisition of vital housing data.
  • Hurricane Maria’s devastation in 2017 prompted ambitious climate resilience initiatives.
  • Accurate building data is crucial for retrofitting, relocating and constructing resilient homes.
  • Traditional surveys are time-consuming and costly for developing nations.
  • AI extracts data from satellite and drone images, aiding disaster prevention and response.
  • Local capacity is strengthened through training in geospatial data management and drone operation.
  • Collaboration with local experts ensures AI model outputs’ accuracy.
  • Overlaying AI-generated information with hazard maps empowers decision-makers.
  • This approach expedites disaster response and proactive risk management.

Main AI News:

In recent times, the Caribbean region has been grappling with the escalating challenges posed by climate change and extreme weather events. Hurricanes, floods, and other natural disasters have wreaked havoc on the region, necessitating innovative solutions to enhance climate resilience. In this context, the World Bank has embarked on a transformative journey, exploring the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) to revolutionize disaster risk management. This groundbreaking initiative not only seeks to capture crucial housing data through machine learning but also does so in a manner that prioritizes responsibility and avoids harm.

The integration of AI with strategic aerial imagery and localized insights has emerged as a game-changer in this pursuit. It offers nations in the Caribbean the opportunity to swiftly acquire indispensable housing data with unparalleled speed and cost-efficiency. But how did we get here, and what are the implications for climate resilience in the region?

A Tale of Devastation and Resilience

In 2017, Hurricane Maria made landfall in Dominica, leaving a trail of destruction in its wake. The Category 5 storm decimated over 28,000 homes, accounting for nearly 90% of the building stock, resulting in estimated damages and losses of $380 million in the housing sector alone. This catastrophe served as a catalyst for ambitious climate resilience initiatives spearheaded by government agencies and international organizations. A prime example is the Resilient Housing Scheme by the Government of the Commonwealth of Dominica, which aims to make 90% of the housing stock resilient by 2030.

However, for these programs to succeed, they require accurate and up-to-date maps of buildings and their characteristics. These maps are vital for identifying and retrofitting damaged structures, relocating vulnerable citizens, and constructing new resilient homes. Traditional house-to-house surveys, though comprehensive, are often time-consuming and costly, particularly for developing countries. The absence of a rapid means to generate critical baseline data poses a significant risk, potentially misallocating resources and delaying urgent humanitarian responses.

AI, Earth Observation, and Local Empowerment

Fortunately, the rapid advancement of AI and the increasing availability of Earth observation (EO) data offer a viable solution. AI enables the extraction of meaningful information, such as building footprints and roof materials, from remote sensing data like satellite and drone images. This makes AI a powerful tool for addressing disaster prevention and response challenges. However, to fully harness these technologies, we must strengthen local capacity.

To tackle this challenge, the World Bank, in collaboration with the Digital Earth Program under the Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR), is providing training to local government staff and key stakeholders in Dominica and Saint Lucia. This training equips them with the skills to manage large-scale geospatial datasets and operate drones for the cost-effective collection of high-resolution aerial images. These images are then used by AI tools to extract vital building characteristics, including size, roof material, and damage levels.

The Power of Collaboration: Human-AI Partnership

Moreover, this year, the World Bank plans to take this initiative even further. By collaborating with local experts, the aim is to manually interpret, validate, and refine the AI model outputs. This human-in-the-loop approach allows human validators to address model limitations, ensuring the utmost accuracy in the generated maps. Overlaying the AI-generated information with hazard maps, such as flood inundation and storm surge risk maps, empowers decision-makers to swiftly identify high-risk structures.

Through the amalgamation of AI, EO, and local expertise, governments in the Caribbean can inexpensively generate critical baseline information at a household level, substantially reducing response times in the aftermath of a disaster. This approach not only facilitates immediate post-disaster assistance but also enables proactive risk management.

Conclusion:

The integration of AI, Earth observation, and local expertise in the Caribbean has the potential to transform disaster response and climate resilience efforts. This innovative approach allows for the rapid collection of critical data and improved decision-making, ultimately enhancing the market’s ability to respond to climate-related challenges efficiently and proactively.

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